Archive for September 18th, 2010

Surprise! Afghan elects marked bt massive fraud

As billions of dollars are siphoned from Afghanistan warlords and officials into Swiss banks and Dubai challets, the election of the next round of officials is being chosen by elections characterized by massive voter fraud. Given the billions at stake and the fact that the Presidential ections were marked by massive fraud and little has changed, this should not be surprising.

The Christian Science Monitor reports:

Ballot-stuffing witnessed amid troubled Afghanistan vote

As Afghans voted Saturday, a reporter in Wardak Province spoke to an election worker about how his team had set out to stuff ballot boxes. The widescale fraud in Wardak may speak to troubles in the broader Afghanistan vote.

By Anand Gopal

Saydabad, AfghanistanWhen campaign aide Qais showed up at a polling center in the troubled province of Wardak Saturday morning, he found that guards would not allow him to enter. When he tried to peer through the windows, he found that workers had erected huge cardboard sheets to block the view.

Inside, election workers were busy stuffing ballots on behalf of a candidate named Hajji Wahedullah Kalimzai. Although only about 20 men had come to vote thus far, hundreds of ballots were being marked in favor of Mr. Kalimzai.

It was a scene repeated throughout the province. The elections in Wardak were marred by widescale fraud, violence, and an extremely low turnout, casting doubt on the legitimacy of the new class of lawmakers that will represent the province.

“There were almost no elections in Wardak,” said Ghulam Hassan, a local elder. “The votes were stolen right in front of our eyes.”

The turn of events in Wardak likely represents a larger trend in a number of restive areas throughout Afghanistan, where Taliban threats limit the ability of election monitoring teams to visit many polling centers.

Pro-government militia force way into polling center

Instead, candidates rely on campaign aides, like Qais, to watch for irregularities. As election workers were stuffing ballots in a polling center in the Desht-e-Top area of Wardak, where Qais was barred from entering, pro-government militiamen who are part of a community policing initiative – or community guards, as the government prefers they be called – arrived at the scene.

With The Christian Science Monitor present, they forced their way into the polling center and detained the entire staff of eight on suspicion of ballot stuffing.

“Who are you working for?” the head militiaman screamed, pointing his weapon at them. The men, whose hands were tied behind their backs with scarves, hung their heads and professed their innocence.

But the militiamen discovered hundreds of sheets with the identification information for thousands of registered voters, which is normally only available to election workers in administrative centers.

“You might as well tell the truth now, because if you don’t, we have ways of making you talk,” the head militiaman said angrily. Finally, the cowed men divulged all – they were working for Kalimzai, a local powerbroker and candidate.

The militiamen took the detained workers away, but decided to leave one behind at the polling center in case anyone showed up to vote. No one did.

Later on, this election worker, who was in charge of the polling center, described in detail how his team had set out to stuff the ballots. “We were given $200 each by Kalimzai’s people to fill out the ballots for him,” he explained, speaking on the condition of anonymity.

In the early morning, about 20 people braved the Taliban threats to come to cast a ballot. After nearly two hours, when it was clear that no one else would dare to show, the team dismantled the cardboard voting booths, used the large cardboard pieces to cover the windows, and then went about their work, filling out ballots and matching the corresponding data with their voter lists.

The man supposedly behind the attempted heist, Kalimzai, is the head of a major construction company. Like many of his rival candidates, associates and officials say he has become wealthy from contracts with the foreign forces.

But locals, election workers, and some government officials say that the fraud in Wardak doesn’t end there. The militiamen who detained the election workers here are connected to a rival candidate, Hajji Akhtar Muhammad Taheri, known by locals simply as Hajji Akhtaro.

Mr. Akhtaro has himself been widely accused of a massive vote-stealing scheme in recent days, a charge he denies. “People who tell you that I am doing fraud are intentionally trying to make problems,” he says.

Akhtaro is also well-connected to the foreign forces, having risen to prominence by running a logistics company that brings supplies to troops from Bagram Air Base to smaller outposts. The militia he is tied to is known as the Afghan Public Protection Force, an American-backed initiative meant to create a community police force as a bulwark against the Taliban.

But the force has come under the sway of local powerbrokers, residents say, and in these elections have been closely connected to certain candidates like Akhtaro.

A number of government officials in Chak and Saydabad districts insist that Akhtaro’s men, with the help of this militia, stuffed thousands of ballots the night before the elections. A campaign aide for Roshanak Wardak, currently a member of Parliament and running for reelection, claims to have witnessed the incident and as a consequence was detained by the militia.

When the Monitor visited Sheikhabad, a town in Wardak’s Saydabad district, the polling center was closed six hours ahead of schedule. Local residents and poll workers said that the center had closed because Akhtaro’s supporters and those of a rival candidate, Hajji Musa Hotak, had been trying to stuff ballots for their respective candidates at the same time, leading to a brawl.

Polling centers open but empty

A number of other polling centers in the area were open but empty, save for a few policemen milling around. Police officers reported that only a few dozen had come to vote in each site, but the ballot boxes were filled to the brim. By 11 a.m., four hours into the polling day, almost all of the polling centers in the southern half of Wardak were closed, according to local reports.

In the capital, Maydan Shahr, almost all of the voters were ethnic Hazaras that were brought in groups from Kabul – almost no Pashtuns voted, despite Wardak being majority Pashtun. (Some local reports say that voting did take place in the Hazara parts of Wardak, however.)

Some government officials, however, said that turnout had been high. “Many people have voted, and almost all of the polling centers are open,” said Haleem Fedayee, Wardak governor in the morning. “It looks as if about 90 percent of the people will vote today.”

The Electoral Complaints Commission, an Afghan body, will in the coming months be tasked with assessing the level of fraud. The commission has the right to disqualify ballots it finds are fraudulent – which in last year’s presidential elections amounted to nearly a quarter of all votes. The process of determining fraud took months.

This year’s process will likely be even more complicated, given the number of candidates and the fact in some places, many of them are suspected of fraud. In Wardak, each of the four major candidates, three of whom have been described in this story – Kalimzai, Akhtaro, and Hotak – are thought to be involved in vote stealing, according to a number of Afghan authorities, locals, and a Western official who focuses on Wardak Province.

While the polls have gone well in some provinces, in Wardak they have bred resentment. “These elections are a shame. They are an embarrassment,” says Roshanak Wardak, who is one of the few prominent candidates who has not been accused of impropriety. She was forced to stay in her home Saturday in Saydabad, after receiving threats that she believes came from other candidates.

“Those who have money can do whatever they want,” she says. “They have destroyed these elections.”

September 18th, 2010

Authors of Right Wing hate letters to DailyKos exposed!

Hilarious. Accurately represents the right wing spirit today. Definitely Not Safe for Work:

September 18th, 2010

O’Hare analyzes tax change effects on those only moderately rich

Michael O’Hare demonstrates the terrifying effects of letting the Bush tax cuts expire for the moderately wealthy by analyzing the effects on Law Professor Todd Henderson and his physician wife, who tells us his life will be decimated if the tax cuts on those earning > 250K are allowed to expire. Professor Henderson explains:

Like most working Americans, insurance, doctors’ bills, utilities, two cars, daycare, groceries, gasoline, cell phones, and cable TV (no movie channels) round out our monthly expenses. We also have someone who cuts our grass, cleans our house, and watches our new baby so we can both work outside the home. At the end of all this, we have less than a few hundred dollars per month of discretionary income. We occasionally eat out but with a baby sitter, these nights take a toll on our budget. Life in America is wonderful, but expensive.

If our taxes rise significantly, as they seem likely to, we can cut back on some things. The (legal) immigrant from Mexico who owns the lawn service we employ will suffer, as will the (legal) immigrant from Poland who cleans our house a few times a month. We can cancel our cell phones and some cable channels, as well as take our daughter from her art class at the community art center, but these are only a few hundred dollars per month in total. But more importantly, what is the theory under which collecting this money in taxes and deciding in Washington how to spend it is superior to our decisions? Ask the entrepreneurs we employ and the new arrivals they employ in turn whether they prefer to work for us or get a government handout.

Michael O’Hare fact checks:

Because Obama proposes to let the Bush tax cuts expire only on “incomes above $250K”, I was surprised that Prof. Henderson expected to be importantly worse off under the president’s plan, so I went here and plugged in what seemed to be reasonable numbers. He says his family’s “combined income exceeds the $250,000 threshhold for the super rich (but not by that much)” . I tried $140,000 each for him and his wife, $5000 in charitable deductions, and a 5% mortgage on a million-dollar house, which is what would cost about $15K in property tax per year in Chicago, with 80% 20% down [thanks JHA]: $40,000 per year in mortgage interest.

Under Obama’s plan, his federal tax would be $48,333, and his Illinois tax about $8400 (3% of AGI). Under current law (Bush tax cuts), $55,600 + $8400. Oops; what happened? Obama will greatly ease his AMT hit, and his taxable income is less than the $250,000 cutoff. If all the Bush tax cuts expire, his income taxes will be the same as now, $55,600, again because of AMT changes.

But wait a minute: he says he’s paying “nearly $100,000″ in state and federal taxes, not including sales tax; let’s say $95,000. Leaving out his property tax, that’s $80,000 in income tax. How much income would lead to this kind of tax hit? I had to experiment with the calculator a little, but it’s a little less than $170,000 apiece. So his pretax family income exceeds $250,000 by at least $90,000. But this doesn’t include tax-free contributions to their 401Ks: anything they are socking away for retirement adds to his actual income; unless they’re at the $33,000 limit they must just like to pay taxes, or are too stupid to be walking around professing and treating sick kids. So we’re pretty close to $400K gross income, and on top of that their employers are surely putting money into their retirement funds. I guess $150,000 is “not that much” in some circles.

He is also whining about his and his wife’s education loans, $500,000, which are costing them about $50K per year in interest. Let’s just sketch out the family budget here:

Taxes $100,000

Housing* $65,000 mortgage + 15,000 insurance & maintenance = $80,000

Two really nice cars $.70/mile x 15,000** miles = $10,500

Student loan payments (20 year amortization at 10%) = $60,000

*Why a couple with a half-million dollars of debts decides it needs a million-dollar house in Chicago, where the Hyde Park average price ” near their work” is a third of that, is not entirely clear. Also note that $25,000 of this is going into their own pockets, building equity in their house.

**They live near their work, so this is probably generous.

This leaves about $90,000, a lousy $245 a day, for food, clothes, vacations, cable TV, and like that. You can walk into Nordstrom’s on Upper Michigan and spend that in a minute, and for stuff you really need. Really, I don’t know how these people get by; their adaptive skills, economical habits, and modest living style is an inspiration to all of us. Perhaps they are careful to tip no more than 15% at the Sizzler when they splurge.

So how does our third-of-a-million-a-year law prof/doctor couple and their three kids, barely scraping by already and falling before our eyes to the very bottom of the top 1% of US families by income, make out under Obama’s rapacious soak-the-rich commie attack on all that is holy and American and fine? Wait for it; take a guess before the jump:

His taxes will go down $3700; he can buy one of those ties every two weeks! And this guy is threatening to fire the gardener and the house cleaner, take the kid out of art class, turn off his cell phones, and try to raise competent adults with only basic cable.

I guess Professor Henderson and the rest of us don’t live in the same galaxy. Most of us would think that $90,000 a year in pocket change would be just fine. But then I must eat a cheaper brand of caviar. Or feel that thrift and honesty are values.

September 18th, 2010

Rosenberg on Mideast negotiations

M J Rosenberg has written some of the simplest, and most reasonable, commentary on the current Israeli-Palestinian negotiations:

The Obstacles That Probably Will Kill Any Israeli-Palestinian Deal

By M J Rosenberg

The Israeli-Palestinian negotiations are reported to be going well — or as well as they can go with the United States maintaining its insistence that no attempts at Palestinian unity are made.

This is Israel’s demand, conveyed to the lobby, enforced by President and Congress, and then rammed down the throat of even the forces within the Palestinian Authority who want to coordinate with Hamas.

But, forgetting that for a moment, the big worry about the current talks continues to be what will happen after September 26th, when Israel’s partial settlement freeze ends. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu says that he won’t continue the freeze while President Mahmoud Abbas says he will end the talks if the freeze lapses.

The whole settlement freeze issue is one of the three most unnecessary obstacles to peace . The other two are the belief, on the part of some Palestinians, that the 1948 refugees and their progeny are returning to Israel (rather than to a Palestinian state) and Netanyahu’s insistence that Palestinians recognize Israel “as a Jewish state.”

First the settlements.

Of course, the freeze should continue and should extend to all the land being negotiated over (i.e., the land beyond the ’67 lines).

Here’s an analogy. A renter and her landlord are discussing whether she can put up a wall to create a separate dining area in the kitchen. She says that she will put it up at her own expense and fully remove it when she moves out.

The landlord agrees to discuss it but she insists that she be allowed to put up her wall while they are discussing the issue, and before any agreement is reached.

He argues that no, since the discussions are about the wall, you can’t preempt the issue by putting up the wall before we agree whether you can. You can’t decide the issue unilaterally while saying that we are talking about it.

It’s the same with Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.

Above all, they are about Israel’s borders — what will be Israel and what will be Palestine. Every expansion of settlements, let alone the construction of new ones, is a unilateral decision about the future of the land. Every settlement, every additional settler family, is a statement that this space belongs to Israel.

The solution is simple. As President Obama said in his press conference on September 10th, “….ultimately, the way to solve these problems is for the two sides to agree what’s going to be Israel, what’s going to be the state of Palestine. And if you can get that agreement, then you can start constructing anything that the people of Israel see fit in undisputed areas.” As for the areas that are going to be Palestine, Israel cannot build there.

So start with defining borders. In the meantime, freeze the status quo.

The second obstacle is the idea that peace can only be achieved if every displaced Palestinian in the world and their descendants — perhaps seven million people — has the right to move to, what is now, Israel.

This is not to say that some formula cannot be worked out to address the Palestinian homelessness that was produced by the establishment of Israel. Simple justice requires it because the creation of Israel created the refugee problem. It should not even be necessary to write that. But Israeli propagandists like to insist that this is a myth and that the Palestinians simply decided to up and leave their ancestral home after a thousand years or so because, I don’t know, they were bored.

Fortunately, polls show that most Palestinians insist only on the “right of return,” but only a very few actually want to exercise that right. In fact, the Arab League Initiative (formerly called the Saudi initiative, the best peace plan out there) stipulates that the issue of Palestinian return would have to be agreed upon by Israelis and Palestinians. No Palestinian would return to Israel without Israel’s consent.

The Palestinian refugee problem — also known as Palestinian statelessness – would be solved by the establishment of a Palestinian state encompassing the occupied territories, with its capital in East Jerusalem, and in which every Palestinian in the world would have the right to live. Like Israel, it would exist both for the people who live there and the Diaspora. Additionally, the international community would financially compensate the Palestinian people for its losses since 1948. (I can see super-attorney Ken Feinberg assigned to determine what each family should receive).

So what’s the problem? Why is “return” such an obstacle?

It probably isn’t, except for those who want it to be.

And then there is the new demand, devised by Likud prime ministers, that Palestinians recognize Israel “as a Jewish state.”

This demand was designed to torpedo any agreement because those who came up with the idea knew that Palestinians would never accept it. After all, for almost 60 years Israel has insisted only that it be recognized as Israel, with the right (guaranteed in any treaty) to secure borders and therefore a secure population.

No nation in the world is recognized by any other nation as anything in particular. After all, it is not up to outsiders to determine the identity of another country.

Palestinians, in particular, cannot recognize Israel “as a Jewish state” because that formulation essentially declares that non-Jewish Israelis (a million Palestinians who are Israelis) are second class citizens. Imagine how American Jews or other non-Christians would feel if the United States was recognized by the world “as a Christian state” although it is possible to make the case that we are that. (The overwhelming majority of Americans are Christian. Christmas is a national holiday and official government documents state “In The Year Of Our Lord.”)

The “as a Jewish state” concept is also a terrible idea for Jews. Even without Israel’s recognition “as a Jewish state,” the power of the Orthodox Jewish establishment over Israeli life is out of control. In Jerusalem, public transportation lines run special buses for the Orthodox community separating men and women, the Orthodox are also demanding sexually segregated cars on the new Jerusalem light rail system.

The Israeli religious authorities could function well in the Islamic Republic of Iran. Sabbath observance is enforced by law as is the ban on selling pork. Hosting a Christmas or New Year’s party can cost a restaurant or hotel its rabbinic certification to do business. The Orthodox rabbinate decides who is Jewish and who isn’t, based on bizarre racial criteria. Those deemed not Jewish are burdened with obstacles at every milestone in life: birth, marriage, divorce, death. In recent weeks, The Prime Minister’s wife, herself, had to become personally involved to prevent the deportation of Israeli-born, but non-Jewish, children of foreign workers who know no country but Israel. A Jew cannot marry a non-Jew, or anyone deemed a “non-Jew” by the rabbinate in Israelbut has to travel abroad (Cyprus is the favored destination). If Israel suddenly was recognized “as a Jewish state” rather than simply as “Israel,” the Orthodox stranglehold would become even more oppressive.

So, here’s my idea. Keep the settlements frozen solid. Limit the Palestinian right of return to something realistic. And recognize Israel simply as Israel, the homeland for Jews, but where all Israelis enjoy equal rights and no rabbis can make any Israeli, Jew or Arab, sit (quite literally) in the back of the bus.

And, above all, establish a viable Palestinian state in the 22% of historic Palestine that was not controlled by Israel until June 1967 with East Jerusalem as its capital.

The alternative, looming just beyond the horizon, is the so-called one state — or binational — solution in which Israelis and Palestinians share all the land from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea. How can it be more obvious? The alternative to two states is one state, which virtually all Palestinians would accept and virtually all Israelis reject. That is why the two-state solution is not a gift to Palestinians but to Israelis. Even Netanyahu should be able to see that.

September 18th, 2010

Linkins: Obama supporters believe Bush critics should give Obama a pass for being to Bush’s right on civil liberties

Jason Linkins in Huffington Post:

Obama is to the right — let me repeat: TO THE RIGHT — of President George Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, John Yoo, Jay Bybee, et al. — on the issues of state secretswarrantless surveillace, and detainee policy in Bagram, and has even come up with something that gives his predecessors pause: the claimed right to assassinate an American citizen at his whim! Obama, and his most idiotic defenders, seem to think that all of the people who built a career criticizing Bush for abuse of executive powers should just give Obama a pass — never mind that he ran on a platform of dismantling those powers.

September 18th, 2010

Music: A Karan Casey selection

Ballad of Accounting [Ewan MacColl's wonderful song describing a good society]

Beat of My Heart:

September 18th, 2010


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